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Re: : [sharechat] US events


From: "nick" <helmett@xtra.co.nz>
Date: Fri, 14 Sep 2001 05:48:24 +1200


                 Listening to this mornings live newsbriefings signs
look encouraging, the americans seem to be softening their tone slightly,
looks like there is going to be a concerted effort to clean up terrorism
worldwide, with the support of virtually every world govt including russia.
 However any conventional war is now looking unlikely, so if the american
market dosent open until monday then there should be no huge selloff.
         I was suprised that the NZ stock exchange chose to open
immediatly following the attack, it would of been more prudent if they too
had closed for the day. Fortunatly the market has not fallen too far and
should recover within the week barring any further shocks.
 
   Nick
 
 

Nick - I was thinking exactly the same thing myself.  If the US markets open again on Friday or maybe Monday (as has been mooted) perhaps investors will have had time to mull the events over and treat the re-opening of the markets "rationally" - there could even be a rally.
 
It really depends on events over the next couple of days.  If the investigation in finding the perpetrators proves fruitful then investors may think the potential of any future terrorist strikes may be averted - a plus for the market as it removes any uncertainty. 
 
However, if the investigation bogs down and/or some form of military action occurs then it will be a negative for the market.  It was reported on CNN.com that Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said in a taped message to U.S. troops: "More -- much more -- will be asked of you in the weeks and months ahead. This is especially true of those who are in the field." - a reference to some potential future conflict.
 
We'll watch and wait.
 
Ben Dutton
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
From: nick
Sent: Thursday, September 13, 2001 2:39 PM
Subject: Re: : [sharechat] US events

        Will be interesting to see how wall street will respond to
recent events.  We could be in for a suprise and actually see
a rally.  The dow has been beaten down badly in recent weeks
and the terrorists could not of chosen a better time to strike if
sending jitters through markets was part of the plan.
       However, any panic would give a win to the terrorists,
we may see investors dig in their heels and refuse to sell,
this tragedy may have the effect of uniting investors, who are
already being urged not to sell.
     
 Nick
 

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