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Re: [sharechat] Nufarm - Turned the corner?


From: "nick" <acummin@es.co.nz>
Date: Sat, 14 Apr 2001 12:16:15 +1200


          Happy with the company, not so happy about the share price,
  however there has been plenty of opportunity to average down, i still
believe it only a matter of time before the price moves up closer to its true worth.
       A week is hardly going to frustrate me,  especially when my other
two main investments looking up  ie Frucor and GPG.
        Nufarm is very interesting, people seem to either love it or hate it.
  However compare its recent performance with the likes of air new zealand,
advantage group and the dot bombs, who dont even make profits.
    Nufarm has consistantly improved eps and dividend,  plus the current buy back
should soon begin to have an effect on the shareprice.
   Those who bought in during the last couple of weeks are already sitting
on a paper profit, and will also now recieve a dividend. Looking through the
NZSE   its hard to find anything else much worth investing in, except
 Frucor !! , which incidently should be beniffiting greatly form all this
good weather we have been having, particularly here in canterbury.
 
         nick
    
 
 

Nick - must have been a prety frustrating week for you in view of the remarks you made about Nufarm last Sunday.
 
The message board also had a report that Sky News in OZ had reported some takeover activity.
 
Pretty low volumes both here and Aust last week kept the price down. Long term trend is still definitely down and I feel that it will take more than good news to get the price back up over $4.00
 
Retrospectively the best (or worst view) insight into Nufarm I have seen came on this forum from David Ling http://www.sharechat.co.nz/archives/2001/03/msg00326.shtml.
 
When you think about it David's views make a lot of sense - esp when long term institutional investors these days look more at a company's non-financial performance more and more when valuing a stock. Taking these into account Nufarm will always have problems in getting their share price up to what should be 'fair value' - based on financial performance.
 
I still have a few  Nufarm (in case miracles happen) but must admit to taking some profits in February when I started having some doubts as to the possibility that  they were a lost cause.
 
Cheers
 
Peter

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