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[sharechat] CITIC and Forests


From: "B.Bourke" <bbourke@world-net.co.nz>
Date: Fri, 16 Aug 2002 16:49:0 +1200


 
Dear Gerald, or 'Bitter minor shareholder of FFS.'
re: your message of  Y/Day
Its a pretty much proven by now that the time honoured practice of shooting the messanger has little effect on the message itself. 
If you dont like to hear the story about the China International Trust and Investment Corporation (CITIC), then at least have a look more close to home as a basis to make a judgement on the forests deal.
I dont own FFS shares (I have my own little group of dogs though, including mongrels like ITC), but my checking of the FFS share price history shows that from about 1994 through to now the FFS share price has gone from about $2.50 ($2.75 peak) to about 0.22 now with 1 split. Thats a massive reduction in value (its almost too much for my calculator to work out !!). If it was the other way around - say from 50c to 250c, one would say it was a 500% increase, so I guess the share price has dropped 500%. Doesnt really matter about the accuracy of the figure, the fact is that one could only conclude that the board and management of FFS were - in politically correct language - 'success challenged'.  In normal day to day language - hopeless.  In language that your bank might use when applying for a loan - unacceptable.
 
With a history like that one would have to conclude that its a safe bet that any deal that the board was pushing was most likely to cause a further reduction in share price. Thats all thats happened in the past, so why any reason for change now?  They've even shown that in a deal with CITIC once before that they couldnt make it work.  As Tonto said once when he found that his horse was deal - its time to get off!!
It may just turn out that the 30% of shareholders who said 'No' might be smarter than the board. Only time will tell. (but I would lay bets)
 
Kind regards,
Bernard Bourke



 
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