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Re: [sharechat] CLI


From: "andrew cottingham" <arco@adinfinitum.co.nz>
Date: Wed, 15 May 2002 14:59:27 +1200


Brian
My stance if often more aggressive than many, and I am sometimes a few days early with my forecasts. I find the early move works for me, but others may need much more confirmation before taking the plunge - then sometimes it's too late! Today's market is very fickle and judging the longer term is hard. Short term trading seems to work best for my situation at the moment, as we are seeing with CLI, and others shares I post about on Sharetrader.
 
Answers to your questions.......................
Q. In short are you looking for a new higher low confirming the short term uptrend I spoke of in my CLI post which is drawn between the two big dips late last Sept and early April?
A. Basically yes. I am looking for a possible bounce off an extention of that line which also corresponds with an old support at $2.90 (June/July 2000). We saw the test of that area yesterday. Failing that there are other possible support lines lower down but these are cross trending with the line you mention.
 
Q. Are you looking at these new indicators you speak of as being a good entry for a short term trade or a longer term entry point?
A. The indicator is actually a pattern that may be forming. The pattern will initially appear bullish, but will need confirming as time goes on. It is all dependant on where the reversal appears, and  I will talk more about that as events unfold.
 
Q. Am I right in concluding that a longer term perspective would be to resist until the main red downtrend is broken through?
A. This would depend on your trading stance - aggressive or conservative. An aggressive trader will climb aboard the next up-wave, and perhaps get off again if/when it turns down (as I predicted before at 3.35). The conservative trader may wait for the top down-trend line to be broken and then for a higher low to form and the share then move ahead. It's all down to personal preference - there is no right or wrong way - whatever you feel happy with. We are talking here more about trading than investing. The trader has the ability to hold the share for as long as he likes while the trend is in place, jump off on the signal and can therefore make huge gains. The investor often sticks with the shares ups and downs looking far ahead for a profit without any consideration for charting signals.
 
 
All these questions. Great stuff though!
 
Cheers
Brian

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