Bollard warns of high debt levels and riskier bank lending

By NZPA

Tuesday 17th May 2005

While New Zealand's financial system is overall well placed to cope with a looming downturn, higher household debt and riskier lending by banks pose risks, Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said.

Commenting on the Reserve Bank's twice yearly financial stability report, Bollard said while the financial system as a whole was in sound shape "the risks to investors, households and some firms had been increasing.

Household and farm sector indebtedness has continued to increase and these developments could result in some financial strain if the economy slows, the boom in agricultural export prices does not last, or the New Zealand dollar appreciates further".

Household sector debt was at unprecedented levels, having doubled to $56 billion owed to banks in 2004 from $28 billion in 1990.

Bollard also said the major banks had recorded strong growth in lending and earnings recently.

The return on assets for New Zealand's four major banks during 2004 was 1.1%, slightly better than the international standard of "good" performance of 1%.

However, it was possible banks would try to maintain that by taking on higher risk business.

Bollard noted there had been signs of lending on less traditional terms and by lending the total value of a property.

The RB requires "systemically important" banks to be locally incorporated as a way of walling off the financial system from possible problems with overseas parent banks or subsidiaries in other countries.

"The Reserve Bank will be watching to ensure that the banks maintain appropriate credit standards, and that they have adequate capital to support the risks they take," he said.

Bollard also said the RB would be taking an interest in non bank finance companies, particularly the one third of them in the fast-growing sector lending primarily for property investment and development.

"Experience indicates that recent rapid growth can be a marker for greater risk. A number of domestic finance companies will face the first real test of their soundness if the economy slows."

Meanwhile, Bollard told reporters recent economic data had was consistent with the RB's March Monetary Policy Statement.

"That is that we don't see some of the weakness in the data that some people seem to be seeing."

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