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[sharechat] Re: NZ sharemarket crash prediction mid 2005


From: nickk@quicksilver.net.nz
Date: Mon, 12 Jan 2004 11:53:31 +1300


I don't understand your link between the factors mentioned and a sharemarket 
'crash'. 

We might see a slowdown in the economy based on the high $$$ in about the 
timeframe mentioned, but a sharemarket crash?  Unlikely. 

Cheers 

Gooner 

troymarshall writes: 

> Having been interested in economics for most of my life, and a share investor 
>since 1986. Factors to consider, election year, high New Zealand dollar, 25% 
>of GDP coming from the dairy industry, and probably a similar amount from the 
>forestry sector. Any economists out there, interested in your comments???? 
> 
> 
 

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