Forum Archive Index - June 2003

["Shayne King" <shayne_king1@hotmail.com>]

i realise it would be highly speculative to say whs will go to $4 on tuesday 
however, what leads me to my opinion is to ask why Muir did leave. No 
specific details have been given as to why he left however im picking that 
he may have wished to take a whole different approach to the Australian 
investment. I think he may have wished to reduce investment in australia 
(similar to what Telecom have done with AAPT) and focus more on expanding 
the whs here at home. I think they will still struggle with Australia and 
until then the shareprice will be volatile. Why will they struggle with 
Australia? Trouble with product lines and much stiffer competition. The 
shareprice will only find strength when the market have more faith in the 
operations within Austrailia. And when they do have faith and results are 
more promising, the shareprice could be as high as $10 easy. All you have to 
do is look at Telecom and what happened when they entered into australia 
through AAPT. When telecom took full control of AAPT in 2000, the shareprice 
was as high as $8. Once telecom and the market realised that AAPT wouldnt 
perform as well as anticipated the share price fell to about $4 at its 
lowest point. Its not until now that telecom have realised that AAPT (in the 
short term anyway) wont perform to anything outstanding and have taken a 
more backseat to the investment. However, after their last results, telecom 
have shown that they are more comfortable with the australian investments 
and are focused on maintaining their NZ operations. The timeline of Telecom 
over the past few years is a great indicator of how the whs may perform over 
the next couple of years.

Let me know your views.

Regards shayne

>From: "Dave Missen" <d.tackle@xtra.co.nz>
>Reply-To: sharechat@sharechat.co.nz
>To: <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
>Subject: Re: [sharechat] WHS
>Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 12:52:26 +1200
>
>Shayne
>
>I agree with your sentiments re a move on Monday - market closed!
>
>I pick that there won't be a lot of change as the Australian side of the
>business is still not performing and the market is well aware of that.
>
>While ST is back in a caretaker role this doesn't change the business
>results.
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Shayne King" <shayne_king1@hotmail.com>
>To: <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
>Sent: Saturday, May 31, 2003 12:45 PM
>Subject: Re: [sharechat] WHS
>
>
> > You'l be lucky to get anything out of monday!! i reckon $4.00 tuesday
> >
> >
> > >From: "Richard Hooper" <hoop@ihug.co.nz>
> > >Reply-To: sharechat@sharechat.co.nz
> > >To: "sharechat@sharechat.co.nz" <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
> > >Subject: [sharechat] WHS
> > >Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 20:30:35 +1200 (New Zealand Standard Time)
> > >
> > >Old Captain back steering the ship.
> > >http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/businessstorydisplay
> >
> >cfm?storyID=3504884&thesection=business&thesubsection=retail&thesecondsubse
>ct
> > >on=general
> > >Any bets on the shareprice Monday. I will start with $4.80 up 12%
> > >
> > >Hoop
> >
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