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From: | "Hans Van der Voorn" <vandervoorn@xtra.co.nz> |
Date: | Tue, 27 May 2003 10:09:04 +1200 |
Hi Jim,
I understand the issues of pumped storage very
well. I did a brief study on a modest scheme myself sometime last
century. Unfortunately it was off the scale in terms of economics. You consume
about 15-20% of the available energy on the way down (depending on how
efficiently you can configure the equipment) and the same again on the way back
up. The other problem is getting enough utilisation time to get a return on
capital.
Pumping water uphill does not create
energy (as the Dominion Post correspondent assumed). It consumes energy but
allows but allows for short term storage of that energy. One scheme in central
London uses a deep shaft for this purpose but the reasons there are to do with
limits on peak transmission capacity. They also have large nuclear and coal
fired power stations running 24hrs/day. The Auckland power crisis some years
back is an illustration of a potential use, although in the event it was
much more economic to build a cable tunnel. NZ simply doesn't have the need for
very expensive short term storage.
Hydrogen production from "sunpower" has the same
issues. What is "sunpower"?. If you mean solar power electricity why not
use the electricity directly. Solar power electricity is not free. In fact
it is hugely expensive compared to what we currently pay, because of the capital
cost of the equipment required. It would be dumb to use a lot of electricity to
create hydrogen so we could use that hydrogen to create less electricity that
than we used in the first place. The only benefit would be portability, and even
then it would probably be cheaper to move the electricity than the
hydrogen.
Hydrogen has been proposed for use in car fuels. I
believe even President Bush thinks it's trendy. I confess that I struggle with
the logic of it. I can see the benefits in terms of pollutants. The proposals
there are based on using natural gas to produce the hydrogen. The hydrogen can
then be used in fuel cells. Why not just use the natural gas directly? Compared
to natural gas, hydrogen is a very difficult material to deal with.
So remembering that this group is primarily
interested in investments, where does that leave Genesis. Growing plants for
fuel is a way of tapping into the sun's energy. I think Snoopy (tongue firmly in
cheek), last year suggested Fletcher Forests might be able to use its trees
(mostly lignin) as fuel. Genesis' proposals were I believe based on geneticially
modifying plants to produce more cellulose and less lignin. This to me seems to
be in the realms of maybe "public good" science, but a long way removed from
making a commercial return. As an investor I would have no interest on backing
that. To be fair, Dr Watson probably made an off the cuff comment that has been
blown out of proportion.
Hans
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