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Re: [sharechat] Time for the troops to rally around the flag


From: "Steven Tong" <soarer2@xtra.co.nz>
Date: Sat, 20 Jul 2002 14:06:26 +1200


Nick,
 
 
I don't think all of the selling this morning was panic, the selling has been driven by falling earnings and future downgrades  eg. Sun Micro Systems
 
These companies are just not making as much money as everybody thought they were going to. On an earnings basis the Dow / Nasdaq / S & P are still overvalued by 20-30 %.
 
My view would be that eventually these markets will fall further. Time will tell.
 
 
Regards
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
From: nick
Sent: Saturday, July 20, 2002 1:41 PM
Subject: [sharechat] Time for the troops to rally around the flag

The DOW is going to recover next week, today we saw some panic and on monday the weak hands will after a weekend of fretting cash in their chips. Then there will be a rally.

I suspect it would be a mistake to sell NZ stocks on monday, there are very good reasons why the NZ market should not crash like the DOW and any selloff is likely to be very shortlived.

It is always darkest before the dawn and it is in these times we see who has the balls for the markets.
Who had the minerals to buy AIR NZ in september when they were 15c?.

Remember one important fact, our stocks are not overvalued and any fear induced selling should be a big buy signal. Buy on mondays lows and if the DOW capitulates on monday buy more NZs on tuesday.

To sell on monday would mark you down as weak and scared. Dont think you can sell and buy back cheaper it wont work. The market will open very low and you will be the mug who sold at the bottom.  If you were going to sell it should of been weeks ago, most sensible people have been largely cashed up since april/may .  The other approach is to just hold and wait for the storm to pass. 

Sell in fear on monday morning would be like cowering in your trench when the lads went over the top. Get a grip and enjoy the ride

Time to show those lilly livered yanks that in NZ we are made of stronger stuff and are not going to throw in the towel because of a few bent CEOs, dodgy techs and the ghost of a dead towel head

  Nick

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Messages by Date [ Next by Date: [sharechat] re: Where have all the fullas gone John Rhein
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