Good responses Hoop and Snoopy but you have not convinced me.
In spite of your ravings about where CAH might be heading wouldn't
you be worried about what Liddel was quoted as saying in the NBR today.
Things like cautious about the outlook for the second half and the
second half would be about consolidating the gains of the first half
rather than continuing the trend.
That suggests about $150M at most for the year (remember they don't
pay tax ). Still a long way to go to get your $450M Hoop.
Even $150 is still a huge destruction of value - isn't it driven
from $6.4 billion of capital. (Snoopy - I got the cost of capital from
Pricewaterhousecoopers)
One other thing that puzzles me is that expenses (not including
interest/goodwill/depreciation) aren't coming down - $402M this year v's
$400M last year for the six months to June.
Agree with both of you that we should be looking at the future but
I can't really see where the 'gap' between where they are now and where
they should be is going to come from.
No doubt we (along with JB Were and others no doubt) agree to
disagree.
Good hearing from you anyway and glad that you have made something
from CAH over the last year. Well done
See IRG research reports
