Forum Archive Index - March 2002

["Andrew Cooper" <acoops@xtra.co.nz>]

You don't need to increase revenue by 10% cumulative to satisfiy 10%
cumulative dividends.


----- Original Message -----
From: Rockbottom <rockbottom@ihug.co.nz>
To: <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
Sent: Monday, March 04, 2002 5:54 PM
Subject: Re: [sharechat] some help please hugh


> Dick your anticipated cumulative 10% increase in dividends from AIA for
the
> next 30 years may be a tad optimistic. If the income was generated as in
> 2001 in 30 years it would mean 133,633,296 passenger movements pa,
2,345,644
> aircraft movements pa and 2,965,669 tonnes of freight.
>
> In other words there would be 6426 plane movements every day. How would
> Auck's infrastructure cope? Why would 366,118 people want to move into or
> out  of the city each day? How many security guards would be necessary,
bus
> drivers, meter persons?
>
> Will there be enough fuel for these planes?
>
> Good luck
>
> Rockbottom
>
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Dick O'Connor" <callme_nz@hotmail.com>
> To: <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
> Sent: Monday, March 04, 2002 3:03 PM
> Subject: [sharechat] some help please hugh
>
>
> >
> > Hugh, the other day you referred to the AIA result which was very good.
> >
> > On Friday one could have bought say 500 shares at $4.14 each, including
> > brokerage. The company is currently paying a dividend of about 12c a
year,
> > giving a net yield of a tick under 2.9%.
> >
> > Now, lets look what could happen to the dividend in future years if we
> > accepted that AIA could grow its dividend by say 10% a year.
> >
> > The 12c in 5 years would be 19c
> >            10 yrs           31c
> >            20 yrs           80c
> >            30 yrs           209c
> >
> > We are told the two big enemies of long-term investing are tax and
> > inflation. The dividend imputations here take care of the tax for most
> > people. But we are told inflation has an even bigger effect even where
tax
> > has to be paid. How do you go about making a reasonable stab at what
> damage
> > inflation might do to the figures above for 10, or 20 ,or 30 years.
> >
> > I was finding it pretty slow going working it out year by year when it
> > suddenly occurred to me we have the best economist right here on site.
Is
> > there a quick way of doing a calculation and how do you go about it?
Regs
> >
> >
> > _________________________________________________________________
> > Get your FREE download of MSN Explorer at
> http://explorer.msn.com/intl.asp.
> >
> >
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
> --
> > To remove yourself from this list, please use the form at
> > http://www.sharechat.co.nz/chat/forum/
> >
> >
>
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
--
> To remove yourself from this list, please use the form at
> http://www.sharechat.co.nz/chat/forum/
>
>




----------------------------------------------------------------------------
To remove yourself from this list, please use the form at
http://www.sharechat.co.nz/chat/forum/