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Re: Re: [sharechat] What to buy when rally starts?


From: "DR" <kat47@bigfoot.com>
Date: Sat, 22 Sep 2001 22:43:41 +1200


OK GPG is in the UK market in a big way (for them) but they are not going to do things quickly.
They represent only 0.9% of their sector and the sector is only 1.1% of the total market which makes them quite insignificant other than on a bidding basis for a particular share.
Some scary Friday stats.
At 9.30 am the FTSE 100 had 97 falls and 3 flat. O rises.
At the end of day, only 1 big rise was Vodafone (+12.3%). Of the others BT (telecoms) was up 4.3% United Utilities (water) up 3.0% and NGG (electricity) up 4.08%.
The market is now in panic mode. Small investors have fled, institutions can sit on their hands but only for so long.
I have it from one large institutional source that the traders were offered only £1.3m against a buy order of £20m for a gilt (govt bond)
I can quote at least one sound share which has a prospective 2002 PE of  almost 1. Even if their business is reduced significantly they should justify a 100% price rise within 6 months. They have fallen 75% in the last 6 months without a profits warning. They do have significant borrowings but also a lot of cash because of recent structural adjustments.
Ther is no credit in this market for these types of actions, however successful.
D.

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