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Re: [sharechat] LEARNING TO INVEST >>> LONG-TERM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


From: "pedro.nz" <pedro.nz@clear.net.nz>
Date: Thu, 14 Jun 2001 11:54:34 +1200


Firstly a big THANK YOU to the people who are always willing to share their knowledge and experience on this forum. It is always a pleasure to read the new posts for the day and to ponder on the information so freely given.

With regard to Technical Analysis and the post on EBOS from Phaedrus (who has sparked my interest in technical analysis with his post) I would like to ask the following very general questions…

I notice that the chart has several overlays showing various ways in which you can plot trends (Trendline, Parabolic SAR, 200 day Polarised Fractal Efficiency Signals, Qstick Buy/Sell Signals, 250 Simple Moving Average)

a) The trendline seems to give the earliest sell signal – Is this generally true?

b) The trendline and the moving average only have sell signals – Is this correct?

c) The buy/sell signals of all the others seem quite timely – Is this generally true or is this an “ideal” stock for showing this type of analysis?

d) Can you post a couple of charts – one with a short time frame and another of the same stock with a long time horizon?

(A stock such as TEL would be good as most share-chatters are probably more familiar with this one)

e) Is the “success rate” of buying & selling using tech analysis measurable in percentage terms – eg >80% ???

Pedro

disc: No knowledge of tech analysis at all – will be following up on the websites mentioned very soon – generally a long term stock holder.

 
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