Forum Archive Index - October 2000
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[sharechat] theoretical value FFS rights
Is my maths correct?
The value of FFS rights presently
Rw = Mw - S / N + 1
Where
Rw = theoretical value of rights presently
Mw = market value of FFS
S = subscription price
N = number of righte required to be exercised per new share
so
Rw = 0.50 - 0.25 / 1 + 1
Rw = 12.5 cents
and
Value of FFS presently = 0.50
cost of exercising two rights = 0.50
Number of shares after exercise = 3
Total cost = $1.00
Value of each share once complete = $1.00/3 = $0.33
So in order to get the investors portfolio value back to an equivalent
value as when trading at 0.80 a few weeks ago
$0.80 + $0.50 (execrise price) = $1.30
$1.30 / 3 = 0.43
In other words once the new shares are listed (at a theoretical price of
$0.33) they have to increase 30.3% in order for the holder to have the
same value of shares as he/she did when they traded at 0.80
Chances of that??
Isn't the only glimmer of hope now that once FFS is a stand alone
company then a raid of the register is easier to accomplish in order to
unlock that hidden value.
ie: if each share has a NTA of $1.40 currently then adding $0.50 to
exercise the rights gives an NTA of $1.90. $1.90 / 3 = $0.63 cps. So
at $0.33 shares would be trading at 52% of NTA. They were trading at
that sort of discount at 0.73 when a sale was on the cards.
Doesn't seem like a great deal for the shareholders?
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