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From: | "Oliver Shapleski" <oliver.shapleski@vuw.ac.nz> |
Date: | Tue, 6 Jun 2000 14:08:14 +1200 |
Michael,
Dividend stripping for small investors is
potentially profitable when the dividend is taxed at different rates in the
hands of different investors.
All other things being equal, a perosn being taxed
at 20% on income will have a greater preference for dividends than a person
taxed at 39%. The net dividend will be higher for the person being taxed a
lesser amount. The person on a lower tax rate has a comparative
advantage.
Now, if you follow my logic on the value of a
company cum and ex dividend (before and after the div payment date is reached),
and accept the statistical analysis that says that the price of shares will drop
by an amount of (the dividend less 25%), there is an opportunity for
arbitrage.
Let's consider a $1 share that pays a div of
10c. Statistics suggest that the ex-div price will be 92.5 cents (1.00 -
(.75).10)
Shareholders will then hold a dividend of 10cents
gross dividend, and a 92.5 c share.
The drop in price assumes that the average tax rate
is 25%, so that the investor holds a 7.5c net dividend and a 92.5c share, or $1
in total value.
Now if the investor is a student (like me) and is
taxed at 20%, that investor will have a net dividend of 8 cents and a 92.5 c
share, or $1.005 in total value.
As I understand it, dividend stripping for the
small investor is a description of this type of systematic dividend chasing
behaviour. Like Tony said, not profitable in a bear market.
Dividend stripping by majority shareholders is a
completely different kettle of fish - more on that tomorrow when I finish an
essay or two. Hope I've explained it ok - anyone who wants to add anything
to the theory feel free. (Note: I don't necessarily subscribe to the
theory)
Oli
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