By Jenny Ruth
Friday 17th June 2011 3 Comments |
Text too small? |
The news Kathmandu founder Jan Cameron has invested up to $20 million in competing outdoor equipment retailer Macpac just as her five-year non-compete agreement with Kathmandu expires comes as no surprise, says Buffy Gill, an analyst at Goldman Sachs & Partners.
"Ms Cameron has had a reasonable past track record in retailing, and the expansion of Macpac will indeed increase competition for KMD and other outdoor retailers, in our view," Gill says. Macpac has a strong brand name in New Zealand but less so in Australia, she says.
But Macpac's focus over the past few years has been on cost cutting and it hasn't made a significant investment in its design team. KMD, by contrast, has grown its design team from 10 to 40 people since 2006.
Cameron sold KMD in 2006 for about $275 million. Gill estimates its current enterprise value is about $490 million.
"We believe KMD is well placed to compete against Macpac and others, given its strong brand with growing awareness, investment in product development and range expansion, major economies of scale, and an extensive and growing high quality store network.
In the first nine months of the year ending July, KMD increased sales 23% even though Macpac expanded from 27 stores to 29 stores, Gill says.
Recommendation: Buy.
Kathmandu shares rise to all-time high as analysts upgrade estimates after record annual profit
Kathmandu shares soar as retailer delivers record earnings, upbeat outlook
Kathmandu boosts 2013 profit 27 percent, expects solid performance in 2014
Kathmandu shares gain 2.2 percent as sales momentum remains through third quarter
Kathmandu's Australian stores drive sales growth in first half
Kathmandu lifts 1H profit by as much as 75 percent on Australian sales growth
Kathmandu first-quarter sales rise 19.5 percent
Kathmandu FY profit falls 11% though second-half performance improves
Kathmandu 1H profit plunges on shrinking margins
Kathmandu lifts sales 16% in 15 weeks ended mid-November