Forum Archive Index - February 2004

["Woody" <solarmax@optusnet.com.au>]

You forgot about the Alien invasion of NewYork, The Giant Cockroache attack
on Sydney and the up and coming rat infestation of ChristChurch and that is
just next week. God only knows what will happen the week after. But I guess
we can all depend on Gav letting us all know. As for me I have my charts to
check tonight, a cup of cha to drink and a lady to please. The rest go go to
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Woody
----- Original Message -----
From: "Gavin Treadgold" <gav@rediguana.co.nz>
To: <sharechat@sharechat.co.nz>
Sent: Sunday, February 01, 2004 8:08 PM
Subject: RE: [sharechat] Doomsday and Bio-Terrorism


> > Good to see everyone's happy again.
>
> Looks like I'm gonna have to try and cheer people up again now ;)
>
> > Bio-terrorism is expected to hit the US streets within the
> > coming months. I doubt if this will result in marshall law
> > being instigated, but the trend is upon us.
>
> BT has been expected for a long time. If you do some research you'll find
> that the US has been one of the few countries that has already experienced
> some form of BT. It came from some folks out west in Oregon who took to
> spraying salmonella on food in cafes. I think this was in the 80's. So it
> wouldn't be the first time. (I'm going from memory here, I'm on the road
an
> don't have access to references.) Oh, and yes they were classed as
domestic
> terrorist, same as the OK bombers.
>
> And while we're at it, let's set something else straight about chemical
and
> biological terrorism. They are great at producing fear, because you can't
> see them, and few people understand how they work. But that is about all
> they are good at. Chemical is difficult because it is generally very
> localised, i.e. it will affect greatly those inside, but as soon as it
gets
> outside it is dispersed much too quickly by wind, it soon becomes too
> diluted. Bio is also extremely difficult to implement because you have to
> balance the lethality with the ability to spread (this of course assumes a
> contagious biological agent, non-contagious agents like ricin suffer the
> same problems as chemical - very hard to deliver). Ebola is a classic
> example, it kills people so quickly, that they are isolated and dead
before
> they can spread it very far. Compare this to AIDS which is easily spread,
> but takes a very long time to kill. A natural outbreak of influenza is
still
> the greatest fear here. Research the 1918 worldwide outbreak.
>
> Of course there were the Sarin attacks in Japan, but they weren't that
> effective - something like 100 serious injuries out of the 5000 that ended
> up going to hospital. I think the cult spent something like USD$1b to try
> and militarise their sarin and it still wasn't effective.
>
> Having done some training in this area, explosives are still the most
> effective way to dish out damage. Why do you think they are still being
used
> in Israel rather than chem/bio? Because bang-for-buck it is effective.
Sept
> 11 was still an explosive use of WMD's. The only twist might be a dirty
> bomb, explosives mixed with radioactive material designed to make it
harder
> to clean up, and perhaps cause some cancer. But a dirty bomb is still
mostly
> explosives.
>
> > So plenty of opportunity to enjoy life and wake up happy.
>
> At last you say something sensible. More terrorist attacks will happen in
> the future. Is there much indivuals can gain by worrying in the meantime?
> No. Is there much we can do about it? Not really. Are we in NZ likely
> targets? Not really, there are many more targets worldwide that are more
> attractive than us.
>
> As there is greater awareness, downsides are likely to be less than Sept
11
> 2001, and markets won't overreact as much - unless it is a watershed
event,
> but those don't happen that regularly.
>
> How can Kiwis best profit from it? Look for opportunities from the
Americans
> moving to NZ because "they are scared, and don't want to fly over war
zones"
> (a quote I heard tonight).
>
> I'm sorry but the shadow of terrorism is not enough to justify gold.
You'll
> need a better pump than that.
>
> Cheers Gav
>
> PS and its spelt marital law - oh hang on, that's something else entirely
;)
>
>
>
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