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RE: [sharechat] Trends by macdunk


From: "Allan Potts" <ajp7079@excite.com>
Date: Fri, 5 Sep 2003 00:49:16 -0400 (EDT)



Methinks GOLD, which has been out of favor for 20 of the past 22 years.  
Property (Real Property) maybe on the way down due to the rise in interest 
rates and overheated spike in prices.

Cheers,

Hope this one goes through since all I had to do was hit the reply button.

Allan




 --- On Fri 09/05, Duncan MacGregor < d-m_macgregor@xtra.co.nz > wrote:
From: Duncan MacGregor [mailto: d-m_macgregor@xtra.co.nz]
To: sharechat@sharechat.co.nz
Date: Fri, 5 Sep 2003 16:06:56 +1200 (New Zealand Standard Time)
Subject: [sharechat] Trends by macdunk

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<TD id=INCREDITEXTREGION style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; CURSOR: auto; FONT-FAMILY: 
Arial" width="100%"><FONT size=2>I have come to the conclusion that to make 
real money an Investor  must stick to what Is trending.  <BR>This I would apply 
to shares, property, farming, and most other business Investments.   This 
leaves the question of when to time your entry.    Most trends only last long 
enough for the smart people to sell to the dummies who get caught at the top of 
the market.     The Idea Is to be first In and out before the herd realize Its 
on Its way down.<BR>I always think of It as the hand of a clock, climb aboard 
at half past and out at five to the hour.   The property boom we are having at 
the moment began about three years ago, Investors In that or even only home 
owners have Increased there wealth more so than share Investors.   The average 
house In Auckland lets say Is $350000.     To someone that was smart enough to 
buy It on a $50000 deposit with a $300000 loan at 8pc.   If they were unlucky 
and the house Increased at the national average per annum of 14pc all that 
would mean was they were getting 6pc on $300000 of someone elses money to the 
value of the loan plus 14pc on there own money.    The smart Investor will 
realise It Is more profitable to get 6pc on some one elses money than 14pc on 
your own.   The advantage of buying at the bottom Is If you are mistaken and 
carefull not much gets lost.<BR>The average share Investor (market value plus 
dividends) was left way behind In comparison to the property Investor.<BR>What 
comes next? Is my question to the forum.<BR>In asking the question I would like 
to think I can reinforce my Ideas of what I think with what Input other 
Investors have of the situation.  <BR>The question Is what Is going to trend 
next?<BR>                       cheers macdunk.<BR> </FONT></TD></TR>
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