----- Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, July 19, 2002 10:30
PM
Subject: Re: Re: [sharechat] WHere have
all the fullas gone....
Hi Morgy
great reply, enjoyed reading your thoughts /
comments!
I agree, other forums appear to have a few
interesting characters and comments but many of the comments are pretty
ordinary bordering on nonsensical and / or ramping.
As the old adage goes - quality over
quantity!
Regards
Geoff Walker
ps I'll add my 2c worth,
slightly off topic. I'm picking further big falls in the Dow and
NASDAQ, down to say 6,500 - 7,000.
Reasons, current Dow average PE of 26 (refer to CNN, estimated) are based
on current highly inflated profits that we all know are garbage. Dow has
traditionally traded between 10-15 PE's. Consumers are heavily indebted,
consumer confidence is slumping, manufacturing slipping, interest rates only
have one way to go - up, dollar falling thereby enticing overseas (i.e.
Japanese) holders of US debt to repatriate their monies forcing US dollar and
markets down further, and to cap it all off, huge twin trade and budget
deficits. NZ ain't such a bad place after all (unless the Greens &
Labour have control....)!