Forum Archive Index - April 2002

["G Stolwyk" <stolwyk@wave.co.nz>]

Disclaimer: Outcomes may be different than forecasted. Readers are not asked to buy, hold or sell AUO shares. Do so so will be entirely at their own risk

Forecasted results, financial year ending 31 Dec. 2002:

1. Data.
Current price: Say 60 cents.
Shares up to 1 May 83 mill. For the remainder of year: 153 mill. Mean weighted number of shares: 130 mill.

From "Longwall News": Profit $13 mill.
(Checked other sources, profit data accepted)
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2. Statistics:
2.1 Expected outcomes:
E/S: 10 cents. Current P/E: 6
Expected P/E on 31/12/02: 9
Price on 31/12/02: 90 cents, or an increase of 50% over 8 months (75% on annual basis, 1 May is the starting point).

2.2 **Possible** outcomes:
P/E:10; Price on 31/12/02: 100 cents.
Increase: 67% over 8 months or 100% over 12 months.

Gerry Stolwyk
Holds AUO