Forum Archive Index - December 2001

["winner69 ." <wwinner69@hotmail.com>]

Capitalist - obviously a hidden message in that post

Then there's the matter of bias

Studies by Einhorn and Hogarth in 1978 argued that the illusion of validity 
persists because people fall prey to the confirmation bias; they focus on 
info that is consistent with their beliefs while neglecting inconsistent 
information.

And physicist Robert Park once said about some faulty research - 'Its often 
not deliberate fraud....people are awfully good at fooling themselves. 
They're so sure they know the answer that they do want to confuse people 
with ugly looking data.'

We are supposedly meant to overcome this confirmation bias by examining all 
data, confirming as well as disconfirming.



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