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From: | "Mike Hudson" <mikehudson@clear.net.nz> |
Date: | Sat, 12 Aug 2000 14:55:34 +1200 |
Peter wrote
"Hopefully all the businesses are not dogs and some value can be extracted out of it for any future owner. Another factor that concerns me is that there is no
doubt a lot of inter company trading within the group and within the whole Fletcher organisation - how arms-length is this and what are the real margins businesses could be making." They are far from all being dogs. Winstone
Wallboards is a money machine and the quarrying, aggregates and cement business
are also far from being dogs. Actual EBITs for the year to June 99 and forecast
for 2000 (ex CSFB) are
A99
F00
Building Products
$38m
$65m ($44m from WWB F00)
Concrete
$59m
$72m
Steel
$(41m)
$36m ($50m write off from China fiasco A00)
Construction
$16m
$12m ($4m write off Aus ops F00)
TOTAL
$72m
$184m
Interest
$35m
$ 33m
Tax
$16m
$ 47m
NPAT
$21m
$106m
My personal pick is that these results will be
exceeded although as I said before I have no inside info.
Peter, I can assure you that all transactions
within the Group are at arms length. Negotiations among the sister companies are
probably tougher than with outside suppliers.
I agree that there has been mismanagement. One of the problems
I believe is the propensity of FCL (much less recently) continually moving
senior management around the Group. This has resulted in a lot of short term
thinking and inconsistency of strategy.
As a shareholder I believe that a break up would unlock a lot
of value within FLB and at the same time get rid of a lot of dead wood at the
top. Don't get me wrong, there are a lot of very talented people within the
Group and a lot of very successful and well run businesses. Hang on to your
shares
Cheers
Mike H
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